Metrics 101: 2018 NBA Rookie Season Predictions for Every 1st-Round Pick

b78b640ffe0550e56212a3a9525c381f_crop_exact

Prepare for some restraint.

Now that the league’s top rookies have gone through the 2018 NBA draft and joined their new organizations, it’s easy to fall in love with their potential. They are clean slates at this stage of their respective careers, cheap wholesale nfl jerseys brimming over with untapped upside that could manifest itself in so many different ways.

Maybe Deandre Ayton and Trae Young are going to compete for the league’s scoring title. Mohamed Bamba might lead the Association in blocked shots, though that’s only if Jaren Jackson Jr. doesn’t claim the title for himself. So on and so forth.

But reality is usually a little less exciting than these overly optimistic hypotheticals we’ve crafted in our minds, which is why we should circle back and look at the scores of the top qualified rookies from 2017-18: nfl jersey cheap wholesale china

Points per game: Donovan Mitchell (20.5), Kyle Kuzma (16.1), Ben Simmons (15.8), Lauri Markkanen (15.2), Dennis Smith Jr. (15.2)
Rebounds per game: Ben Simmons (8.1), Lauri Markkanen (7.5), John Collins (7.3), Kyle Kuzma (6.3), Bam Adebayo (5.5)cheap nfl wholesale jerseys
Assists per game: Ben Simmons (8.2), Dennis Smith Jr. (5.2), De’Aaron Fox (4.4), Donovan Mitchell (3.7), Bogdan Bogdanovic (3.3)
Steals per game: Ben Simmons (1.7), Donovan Mithell (1.5), Jayson Tatum (1.0), Josh Jackson (1.0), Dennis Smith Jr. (1.0)
Blocks per game: Jarrett Allen (1.2), John Collins (1.1), Ben Simmons (0.9), Daniel Theis (0.8), Jayson Tatum (0.7)

Keep those finishes in the back of your mind as we run through the projected stats of this year’s first-rounders, based on their pre-NBA production, skill sets and expected playing time in their new homes. Lofty numbers, as you might now expect, are surprisingly rare.

School: Villanova

Age: 20

2017-18 Per-Game Stats: 10.9 points, 8.0 rebounds, 0.8 assists, 0.7 steals, 1.5 blocks

2017-18 Advanced Metrics: 20.6 PER, 58.8 TS%, 166.66 TPA wholesale jerseys cheap nfl

Omari Spellman will turn 21 years old before the start of his rookie season, which makes him older than many first-round prospects. But don’t mistake time spent on planet Earth for NBA readiness, because this Villanova product—one of four taken in the first 33 picks—isn’t quite ready to become a rotation mainstay for the Atlanta Hawks.

The power forward’s big body will make him an immediate asset on the glass, but transitioning from a non-featured collegiate role to the grind of a professional calendar should prove a tough adjustment for a youngster who needs significant conditioning work. Unable to keep up with many opposing bigs on the defensive end, he’ll likely spend plenty of time in the G League before breaking into the rotation with his sweet shooting stroke.

Spellman could become an immediate pick-and-pop option who uses a relatively slow release to provide spacing for the other young members of the Hawks. But he’ll be fighting for playing time with John Collins, Dewayne Dedmon, Mike Muscala and Miles Plumlee, and that’s wholesale cheap nfl jersey china when Atlanta isn’t rolling out small-ball lineups that minimize the opportunities of its myriad bigs. cheap wholesale nfl jerseys from china

Predicted 2018-19 Per-Game Stats: 3.3 points, 2.8 rebounds, 0.2 assists, 0.2 steals, 0.4 blocks

James Harden, Rockets Beat Donovan Mitchell, Jazz Behind Chris Paul’s Huge Night

hi-res-07237f4c27e8b95272894b287e4555c7_crop_north

The Houston Rockets are one win away from their second trip to the Western Conference Finals in four years.

Houston seized a 3-1 lead in its playoff series against the Utah Jazz on Sunday with a 100-87 victory in Game 4 at Vivint Smart Home Arena. As a result, all four second-round postseason series are 3-0 or 3-1 as the Rockets, Golden State Warriors,where can i get cheap nfl jerseys  Cleveland Cavaliers and Boston Celtics close in on the next round.

Chris Paul led the way with 27 points, 12 rebounds and six assists behind 12-of-23 shooting from the field, while James Harden added 24 points, four rebounds, three dimes and four steals. Donovan Mitchell spearheaded the Jazz’s offensive attack with 25 points, nine rebounds and four steals, but his side didn’t have the firepower to counter the top seed’s All-Star backcourt.

Sunday’s matchup—and the series as a whole—set up as a defensive battle considering the Jazz boasted the league’s second-best defensive rating during the regular season compared to Houston’s sixth-best

The defensive prowess on each side was on display for stretches with Clint Capela and Rudy Gobert protecting the rim and wings swarming outside shooters, which put the onus on the individual offensive players to execute difficult shots and plays.official nfl jerseys wholesale

The difference was the Rockets have two of the best offensive playmakers of their generation handling the ball on almost every possession to do just that.

Harden did much of his damage early with a combination of pick-and-rolls, step-back jumpers and drives, where he would either draw contact, finish at the rim or free up his teammates. It wasn’t all great for the MVP candidate, though, nfl china jerseys cheap as he struggled with turnovers (eight) and finding his rhythm (8-of-22 from the field) down the stretch when Utah dialed up the defensive pressure.

That’s when Paul took over.

The nine-time All-Star played early stretches with the second unit and extended the advantage to double digits with a mix of floaters and mid-range jumpers. He also served as the primary ball-handler after the Jazz closed to single digits in the fourth quarter and probed the defense in critical moments to create looks at the rim for Capela (12 points and 15 rebounds) or himself.best prices on nfl jerseys

His presence helped keep Utah at bay even with Mitchell doing his best to penetrate and find some type of offense against the stout Houston defense.

Rob Gronkowski: Patriots Fans Will See ‘Freak-A-Leak’ When I ‘Maybe’ Return

hi-res-25ef71f913fedc545c961c8a2445607f_crop_north

New England Patriots tight end Rob Gronkowski addressed the media at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts, cheap nfl jersey store on Saturday, and while he largely avoided questions regarding his playing status, he did offer some hints.

According to NESN’s Doug Kyed, Gronk said fans will see a “freak-a-leak” when he comes back. Then, in response to a follow-up question about whether he’ll play in 2018, Gronkowski said, “Maybe.”

Gronk has yet to commit to playing, and he hasn’t attended the start of the Pats’ offseason program. He has two years remaining on the six-year, $54 million contract extension he signed in June 2012.

A reporter asked Gronk when he would replace his motocross helmet with a Patriots helmet, and, according to Kyed, nike nfl jerseys sale he responded, “When it comes down to time.”

The four-time All-Pro was also asked if he would attend New England’s voluntary workouts, per Kyed, to which he said, “nfl authentic jerseys china No, I’ve got riding skills to work on.”

After the Patriots’ Super Bowl LII loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, Gronkowski said he would take the offseason to think about his playing future.

Though he hasn’t yet said anything publicly about what he’ll do in 2018, NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport (via NFL.com’s Jeremy Bergman) reported in February that he was expected to continue playing.cheap personalized nfl jerseys

The 28-year-old Gronkowski is a five-time Pro Bowler and two-time Super Bowl champion.

After missing eight regular-season games in 2016, Gronk bounced back last season with 69 receptions for 1,084 yards and eight touchdowns.

In just eight NFL campaigns, Gronk ranks third in team history in receiving yards (7,179) and first in touchdown catches (76).

Moritz Wagner, Michigan

What he’s done: Michigan’s leading scorer during the regular season, Moritz Wagner has seen his production drop a bit with opponents collapsing the defense on him inside. The 6’10” junior forward is averaging 12.5 points and 5.5 rebounds on 47.4 percent shooting, compared to 14.3 points (52.4 percent shooting) and 6.9 rebounds for the year.

Why he’s here: Wagner has still been integral to the Wolverines’ run to the Final Four, particularly on the defensive end, as Michigan has held its foes to 59 points per game and 37.9 percent shooting. He’s blocked just one shot, but opponents have made only 42.6  nfl jersey percent of their two-pointers and many of those makes came when Wagner wasn’t on the court.

What to expect: Wagner will need to avoid the foul trouble that has plagued him in the tournament, having committed 15 fouls in 110 minutes. Loyola doesn’t have anyone to match up with him inside, though, so as long as he defends cleanly he’ll be a cheap nfl jerseys china major player.51e25dabf6ee8ede251da93388826f26_crop_exact

What he’s done: Omari Spellman has taken his inside-out game to another level in the NCAA tournament, averaging 11.5 points, 7.3 rebounds and 1.5 blocks while going 9-of-19 from the three-point line. For the season, the 6’9″ redshirt freshman forward has made 44.6 percent of his threes, the top rate on a Villanova team that makes 40 percent of its outside shots.

Why he’s here: Spellman had 18 points, eight rebounds, three blocks and two steals in the Sweet 16 win over West Virginia, contributing on both ends of the court (including on the same play when he blocked a shot to start a transition possession and then slammed home a missed shot).authentic nfl jerseys

What to expect: Villanova isn’t very big on the inside, leaving Spellman as the main rim-protector against Kansas’ Udoka Azubuike and others. But where he’ll have the most value is on offense, forcing the Jayhawks to guard him.wholesale nfl jerseys

What he’s done: Charles Matthews is Michigan’s top scorer and rebounder in the NCAA tournament, averaging 16.5 points and 7.3 rebounds while shooting 52 percent from the floor. The 6’6″ junior guard came in averaging 12.6 points and 5.4 rebounds on 49.3 percent shooting.

Why he’s here: A transfer from Kentucky, nfl wholesale jerseys Matthews sat out the 2016-17 season and spent most of his first year with the Wolverines as their third option on offense. With Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman struggling and Moritz Wagner getting double-teamed regularly, nfl jerseys china Matthews has taken advantage of his newfound opportunities.

What to expect: A Chicago native, Matthews will have a size advantage over whichever Loyola guard defends him. That might prompt him to try more three-pointers despite going 3-of-15 from outside in the tourney and shooting a pedestrian 32 percent from long range for the season, though he’ll also look for separation when inside the perimeter.

Clayton Custer, Loyola-Chicago

What he’s done: On a team that’s had a different leading scorer in each NCAA tourney game, Clayton Custer has been the most consistent performer among its starters. The 6’0″ junior guard has averaged 11.5 points and 4.0 assists while shooting 56.3 percent overall and 57.1 percent from three.

Why he’s here: Custer is the engine that has driven the Ramblers’ stunning run through the tournament, scoring 10 or more in each of the three one-possession victories to get to the Elite Eight. He was just 2-of-8 from the field against Kansas State, though, only the sixth time all season he’s failed to score in double digits.official nfl jerseys cheap

What to expect: Custer’s the main ball-handler and distributor for Loyola, finding himself feeding an open teammate or working off a screen to get a layup on most possessions. He has a great knack for drawing defenders on some possessions and getting them to forget about him on others.cc0b8adeae588472eaf5ea24b3c29589_crop_exactnfl authentic jerseys

What he’s done: Only Kansas’ Malik Newman has made more three-pointers among Final Four participants than Mikal Bridges, who is 11-of-24 from outside in four games. The 6’7″ junior guard is averaging 16 points in the NCAA tourney, highlighted by 23 (including five three-pointers) against Alabama in the second round.nfl jersey wholesale

Why he’s here: Had Bridges not been ice-cold in the Elite Eight, missing all five threes and going 3-of-10 overall, he might be ranked higher. It was only the fourth time all season he failed to connect from deep, averaging 10 points in those games compared to 17.8 for the season.nfl authentic jerseys cheap

What to expect: Bridges doesn’t stay cold from outside for long, not when he’s shooting 43.6 percent overall. Look for fellow junior guard Jalen Brunson to find him early when open to get his confidence back up, and then Bridges will take care of the rest.

What he’s done: A 44.7 percent three-point shooter on the season, Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk has gone 8-of-21 from deep in the NCAA tournament. None was bigger than his triple with 27 seconds left in regulation in the Elite Eight against Duke, forcing the game into overtime where Kansas came out on top.

Why he’s here: The 6’8″ senior guard has averaged 11.5 points and 3.8 assists per game in the tourney, showing a greater willingness to drive to the rim and not just settle for outside shots. But his 114 threes, tied for 10th most in Division I, are what he’s best known for.best nfl jerseys

What to expect: Villanova will look to push Mykhailiuk off the three-point line and force him into mid-range jumpers or to drive into the defense. Kansas won’t mind, as it is 10-1 when Mykhailiuk attempts more twos than threes in a game.

How Will the New York Jets Handle the Quarterback Situation?

Despite splashy free-agent signings that should help improve the roster, general manager Mike Maccagnan drew mixed reviews for his decisions at quarterback.

After re-signing signal-caller Josh McCown to a one-year, $10 million deal, per NFL Network’s Mike Garafolo, the Jets also acquired Teddy Bridgewater for a season.

In addition, Gang Green moved into the No. 3 slot in the draft and sent the Nos. 6, 37, 49 overall picks and a 2019 selection to the Indianapolis Colts, per Rapoport. Bryce Petty and Joel Stave remain on the books through the 2018 season, and 2016 second-round pick Christian Hackenberg has two more years on his rookie deal.

Realistically, barring rampant injury and planets re-aligning, Petty and Stave have zero chance at starting for the Jets in 2018. It’s clear the organization doesn’t have faith in wholesale nfl jerseys Hackenberg even with his second-round draft tag.

It boils down to McCown and Bridgewater under center for the 2018 campaign. In 2017, the former produced one of his best seasons with career highs in completion percentage (67), nfl jerseys wholesale passing yards (2,926) and touchdowns (18). He also started 13 games for just the second time in his career, which speaks to why Maccagnan would also sign Bridgewater.
bbdb9bf01734bad6edb1d1acfa3f1d3d_crop_exact
The team tabbed McCown as the starter, per Newsday reporter Calvin Watkins, but he won’t finish the season under center nfl jerseys china based on his track record.

The 39-year-old has never played a full 16-game slate. Bridgewater will likely see the field at some point. When he does, the coaching staff can project his progress coming off a significant knee injury during the 2016 offseason.

Assuming the Jets select a top quarterback prospect, he’d eventually take over as the potential franchise centerpiece. McCown will accept the role as the placeholder while nfl wholesale jerseys Bridgewater tries to work his way into starting, while the draft pick will have at least a year on the sideline before taking the field.

‘I Don’t See It’: NBA Scouts, Execs Doubting Trae Young After NCAA Tourney Exit

NBA scouts are turning on Oklahoma’s Trae Young, whose historic freshman season ended with an 83-78 overtime loss to Rhode Island in the NCAA tournament.

“I would not take him in the lottery,” one scout responded after the game.cheap nfl jerseys china

“Not a fan,” replied an Eastern Conference executive. “Love his passion and dedication, but he must learn to be more efficient.”

“I don’t see it with him,” said an executive from the Western Conference. “He’s erratic with the ball, and he’s a teaser. Volume shooter. I have concerns on him.”hi-res-677cf0f405406c996fa6110ed6e7ffbd_crop_north

Despite leading the country in scoring and assists, questions have popped up over the legitimacy of his production, style of play, plummeting efficiency and defensive effort.

“As he matures, he’s going to have to balance out his impulsive play, authentic nfl jerseys because while that’s flashy and all of us love to see it when he’s hot, it’s not going to take you very far as a team,” added another scout. “Defensively, he has to be better, plain and simple.”

Despite going for 28 points, seven assists and five rebounds in the first round, Young showed unsettling negatives as well, including questionable 30-foot hero shots in crunch time, careless passing (six turnovers) and hands-down defense on shooters.

“I believe he had only had one such game, versus Kansas, that was a winning effort,”wholesale nfl jerseys  said the first executive.

At 6’2”, 180 pounds and with short arms, minimal explosiveness and a heavy reliance on threes (10.3 attempts per game, 36.1 percent) and free throws (8.6 attempts per game), Young has size and scoring limitations that concern scouts.

“I believe only 15.0 percent of his field-goal attempts are in the mid-range,”nfl jerseys wholesale  said the executive, who pointed out the need to be able to stop and pop inside the arc. “Can he get his shot off versus quality defense?”

Young was far less effective this season when his jumper was contested around the perimeter.